Here’s a structured project report on the impact of macroeconomic indicators on the performance of the U.S. stock market, specifically examining the Consumer Price Index (CPI), unemployment rate, and Federal Funds Rate:
Abstract
This report investigates the relationship between key macroeconomic indicators — Consumer Price Index (CPI), unemployment rate, and Federal Funds Rate — and their impact on the performance of the U.S. stock market, measured by the S&P 500 index. By analyzing monthly data from January 2014 to the present, we seek to understand how fluctuations in these indicators correlate with movements in stock prices. Preliminary findings suggest that these economic indicators have varying degrees of association with market performance, providing insights into how economic conditions influence financial markets.
Introduction
The performance of financial markets is often a reflection of the underlying economic conditions. Understanding how macroeconomic variables such as inflation (measured by CPI), unemployment, and interest rates (reflected through the Federal Funds Rate) influence the stock market can help investors and policymakers make informed decisions. This study focuses on analyzing the correlation and causality between these variables and the S&P 500 index, a proxy for the U.S. stock market, to discern patterns and potentially predict future market behaviors.
All you have to do is complete the following
discussion (discuss your model selection process, discuss your findings based on the statistical analysis, comment on your final model and its interpretation), and finally conclusion (one paragraph). Please put all tables and/or graphs in the main body of the report, and put all R codes in the appendix.
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